By Nick Beare
Last Week: 9-4 (70%)
Season Total: 109-67 (61%)
Kansas City at Atlanta (-4)
The Chiefs are good. But their offense has been average at best, and have needed special teams and defensive touchdowns to put up respectable point totals of late. I don’t think that’s going to be good enough to keep up with Atlanta’s high-powered attack in the Georgia Dome.
Detroit at New Orleans (-5)
Do we really believe in the Lions? They haven’t really dominated anyone this year, and they’ve actually trailed at one point in the fourth quarter in every game they’ve played this year. This feels like a bizarro world Lions team where instead of finding ways to lose close games, they’ve found ways to win them. The problem is I just don’t think that’s sustainable.
Los Angeles at New England (-13.5)
Going to Foxboro is difficult for anyone. It’s very difficult for rookie quarterbacks. But it’s ESPECIALLY difficult for rookie quarterbacks on bad teams with horrible coaches. Good luck Jared.
Denver (-5) at Jacksonville
Blake Bortles has had a terrible season, and this week he gets one of the league’s top defenses. It’s a recipe for disaster, and the tipping point in a game featuring another quarterback making his second career start. It says something that I’m more concerned about the other guy…
Houston at Green Bay (-3.5)
The Green Bay defense actually looked pretty good last week. That’s bad news for Brock Osweiler playing in the snow at Lambeau. Oh and the Pack have a QB playing out of his mind right now.
Philadelphia (-1) at Cincinnati
The Eagles already had one of the worst supporting casts in the league. This week they go on the road without their starting running back and top receiver. I know the Bengals are hurting, but this is a bad spot for the Iggles.
Miami at Baltimore (-3)
It’s kind of shocking how good the Dolphins have been this season. Ryan Tannehill has improved greatly, and their running game has taken a huge step forward with the emergence of Jay Ajayi. But, the Ravens have made some improvements of their own, including establishing the league’s best run-defense. I think that is the difference in this one.
San Francisco at Chicago (-3)
Colin Kaepernick has been balling lately. Unfortunately, the rest of his team is horrible. The Bears have their own problems, but have played respectable football in some recent losses and should have beaten the Titans last week.
Buffalo at Oakland (-3.5)
The Raiders are rolling right now. The Bills are a decent team, I just don’t see them pulling off this win on the road against this high-powered Raiders offense.
New York Giants at Pittsburgh (-6)
The game of the day usually means a difficult choice. Both of these teams are quality contenders. and there isn’t a whole lot separating them. I think this one comes down to Eli Manning and the Giants ability to score points. I’m not sure they can keep up with Big Ben at home.
Washington at Arizona (-2.5)
I have no faith in Carson Palmer this season. But I have all the faith in the world in David Johnson. I think the Cards get just enough defense and ride their young stud back to victory.
Tampa Bay at San Diego (-5.5)
I suck at picking Bucs games. But that line is ridiculous. Bucs coming off two huge wins go cross-country, feels like a let down spot. I dunno.
Carolina at Seattle (-6.5)
Keep the crying Cam faces coming. Hawks take care of business.
Indianapolis (-2.5) at New York Jets
People want to anoint Ryan Fitzpatrick after a decent game against the Pats. I don’t buy it. The Colts are just better.