Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports
By Nick Beare
This Week So Far: 0-1
Last Week: 7-6 54%
Season: 89-44 66%
Last week was rough, and I’m off to a bad start this week already. Let’s see if I can right the ship a little bit in week 10. There appears to be a few more lopsided matchups on paper this week.
Detroit at Green Bay (-11)
If this isn’t a big Packers win, I might as well stop picking games altogether. The Pack are coming off consecutive losses on the road, and are home to play a reeling divisional foe. Not sure this could be more of a slam-dunk for Aaron Rodgers and company.
Pick: Green Bay
New Orleans (-1.5) at Washington
The Saints take their high-powered offense and awful defense on the road to Washington this week. This game has serious shootout potential, and I like the Saints so simply score more. Pretty simple.
Dallas (-1.5) at Tampa Bay
Ugh. I don’t know where to go with this one, and I probably have the worst record picking Bucs games than any other team. On one hand, America’s Quarterback Jameis Winston has been playing great and seems to be improving every week, and on the other side Matt Cassel will again suit up for the ‘Boys. Except the Bucs are dealing with a seriously depleted corps of pass catchers. Austin Sefarian-Jenkins will again be out this week along with Vincent Jackson and Louis Murphy. Mike Evans will have to go for close to 200 yards to keep the pass game alive in this one. On the other side, the Cowboys have pretty much their full compliment of skill players outside Tony Romo. I don’t expect the Bucs to get much pressure against the Cowboys O-line, and that could end up being the difference with Cassel likely having all day to throw. The Bucs can put up points on this Cowboys’ D, but can they OUTscore them. Not sure they can with the lack of weapons.
Miami vs Philadelphia (-6)
Since interim Head Coach Dan Campbell took over the Dolphins’ job, the Phins have been a roller coaster franchise. The change seemed to spark something positive in the team at first, and they reeled off a couple of big wins. But since then, the lustre has worn off and the Dolphins have regressed into the bottom quarter of the league. Missing Cameron Wake has really hurt their pass rush, and outside Lamar Miller, the offense leaves much to be desired. The Eagles haven’t exactly been world-beaters, but they at least play solid defense and should be able to get the job done this week at home.
Chicago at St. Louis (-7)
The Rams are a different team at home. Their defense plays a lot faster on the turf, and it’s allowed them to overcome their poor quarterback play. The Bears could get steamrolled in this one. The Rams aren’t particularly great, but the Bears are playing a second consecutive road game, on a short week traveling back from San Diego. Recipe for disaster.
Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-6.5)
It looks like Big Ben will be active in a surprise move today against the Browns. No word on whether it will be Ben or Landry Jones getting the start, but it shouldn’t REALLY matter with Johnny Manziel and the reeling Browns defense on the other side.
Jacksonville at Baltimore (-5)
In a battle of bad teams who can’t stop anyone, I like the Ravens at home to score a little bit more than the Jags. Blake Bortles will have a full compliment of weapons, but it’s hard to pick the Jags to beat anyone at this point.
Carolina (-4.5) at Tennessee
The Panthers are undefeated. The Titans are 2-6. I think the Titans have an underrated defense, and Mariota is playing really well. But nobody is picking the Titans.
Minnesota at Oakland (-3)
I think I’m looking forward to this game more than any other today. The Raiders have been a pleasant surprise with their young talent beginning to shine through. The Vikings, everyone’s preseason darlings have largely lived up to the hype. Despite not playing well at times, the Vikes have been able to put together a bunch of wins, and sport a 6-2 record. That being said, I like the Raiders at home.
New England (-7.5) at New York Giants
The Giants seem to be the only team that have consistently given the Pats a tough time over the last few seasons. But I watched every Giants snap last week, and they should have lost in Tampa. Pats should keep it rolling.
Kansas City at Denver (-4.5)
Last time these two teams met, it took a Peyton Manning last minute drive for the Broncos to pull off the win. I think they do it a little easier this week.
Arizona vs Seattle (-3)
Great Sunday night matchup between two very good, divisional rivals. A lot of people will look at the records and pick the Cards to pull it off, but I think Russell Wilson has a big game and leads to Seahawks to vistory.
Houston vs Bengals (-11)
This is one of the easiest Monday nighters I will pick all season. Not a good matchup for the Texans. At all.